Tuesday, 24 February 2015

The Fix: Hugh Hewitt will moderate the first GOP primary debate. Only 11 more and he’ll match Jim Lehrer.


February 24 at 11:37 AM

Salem Radio's Hugh Hewitt has been named as a moderator of the first Republican primary debate, this September in California. Given how debates have multiplied and evolved over the past 30 years, it's precisely what we'd expect.


Since 1988, the number of debates that have accompanied the primaries has exploded. That's happened as the number of debates moderated by cable news and other outlets has increased dramatically. There's almost certainly causality at play. Here are the number of moderators, culled from the American Presidency Project, over each election. (Many debates, we'll note, are moderated by multiple people.)



Since 1988, there have been far more Republican primary debates than Democratic ones, a function of the incumbents and a particularly chock-full 2012 calendar. Even so, the split by network is remarkable. NBC has had more moderators at Democratic primary debates; Fox, far, far more at Republican ones.



Notice, again, how many moderators are from non-major-network outlets. But that includes a diverse array of sources: Spanish-language networks, newspapers, radio, and online sites. This is less about the fracturing of the media landscape than it is a diversifying of the debate landscape. Hence: Hewitt, a radio host moderating a Republican debate -- the largest bar on the above graph.


Hewitt has a way to go before he reaches the top ranks of moderators. The king of debate moderators, of course, is Jim Lehrer, who is repeatedly picked to host the all important general election presidential debates. (He'd retired before 2012, but felt he moderate that year when asked.) Right behind him, Brian Williams, who we suspect won't be tapped in 2016. Then frequent hosts from CNN and Fox News.



RNC chair Reince Priebus has set a hard limit on the number of debates in 2016, hoping to avoid the messiness (and gaffe-iness) of 2012. As for the Democrats, it's not clear if they'll have any debates at all. The two things we will predict: Hewitt will not be the only non-TV host of a debate. And in October 2016, look for a still-retired Jim Lehrer to grudgingly appear on your TV set.



Philip Bump writes about politics for The Fix. He is based in New York City.







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